I’m so pleased to be able to write about our work on The evolution of contact prediction: evidence that contact selection in statistical contact prediction is changing (Bioinformatics btz816). Contact prediction – the prediction of parts of the amino-acid chain that are close together – has been critical to improving the ability of scientists to predict protein structures over the last decade. Here we look at the properties of these predictions, and what that might mean for their use.

The paper begins with a question. If contact prediction methods are based on statistical properties of sequence alignments, and those alignments are generated in the presence of ecological and physical constraints, what effect do the physical constraints have on the statistical properties of real sequence alignments? More concisely: when we predict contacts, do we predict particularly important contacts?